The iron ore price is in bubble territory.Credit:Bloomberg
And the pick of the bunch from a share price performance perspective,Fortescue was up more than 3 per cent on Wednesday to $8.78 and is at a near 11-year high.
While riding the iron ore rise has been wonderful for shareholders,buying into this run seems like a pretty gutsy play requiring (let’s say) nerves of steel.
The iron ore price can be volatile. Having said that it has been trending higher for most of this calendar year and on Wednesday rocketed up 3.7 per cent to $US112.28 - sending iron ore stocks off on a tear again.
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And here's why. If the current spot prices for iron ore remain at these levels Rio and BHP would produce a 50 per cent improvement in earnings per share in fiscal year 2020,while Fortescue’s earnings could be up by 170 per cent according to Macquarie’s calculations.
Such an outcome would deliver a deluge of dividends. In recent years these major iron ore companies have demonstrated a more conservative approach to capital expenditure and a way more generous approach to rewarding shareholders with dividends and buybacks.