The hostages are likely to be hidden all over the city,some in tunnels and burrows lying up to 30 metres beneath one of the most densely populated areas in the world. As Hamas threatens to broadcast the execution of a hostage for every surprise bombing of a civilian home in Gaza,Israel faces a diabolical choice;to abandon its past policy and sacrifice those people to hit back hard,or preserve lives by tiptoeing around Hamas’ demands.
“It’s uncharted territory,” says Saul. “On the one hand,there will be enormous pressure to safely return the hostages,if that’s at all possible. On the other hand,will that be overshadowed by the greater public sentiment for vengeance and retaliation and finishing Hamas for good,regardless of the price even to those hostages?”
Rescues,even by the famed special forces,would be impossibly difficult. Firstly,Israel would struggle to find all the hostages,as they’re likely being held in Gaza’s extensive network of tunnels dubbed the Hamas Metro,which run for miles under the city and into Egypt,decked with electric wires and lights. Some are dirt,some are well-constructed. Usually,they are used for covert travel,and to smuggle contraband and weapons.
Moreover,Gaza “is controlled by Hamas”,says Saul. “It’s heavily militarised,defended,lots of planning has gone into how these captives are held and where they’re held.” A military ground invasion attempting to bring Hamas to its knees could also end badly for the hostages,who would probably be killed or moved.
Israel’s alternative to a ground invasion or rescue would be to “to do what they’re doing already”,says Saul. “Which is aerial bombardment from afar to degrade Hamas’ offensive capacities,kill its commanders,destroy its mission. It’s not enough to fully defeat Hamas. We will not know[if Hamas is serious about executing hostages] until it starts happening.”
Israel has also ordered a complete siege of Gaza – which is home to 2.3 million people – by cutting off water and food.